As we approach June of 2020, there’s one thing on many people’s minds: Monsoon season.
The Monsoon rains bring life to many communities across Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and the rest of the Pacific. The wet season brings relief from heat, irrigates crops, and fills reservoirs with fresh water.
However, Monsoons can also cause devastating floods and widespread damage. Because of this, many communities and businesses also have to prepare to adapt to the weather before it hits.
So what will the 2020 Monsoon season bring? Will rainfall be more or less than usual? And what is the Monsoon forecast for each region of APAC?
Tomorrow.io’s in-depth seasonal and sub-seasonal forecasting system offers a hyperlocal look at how the Monsoon will impact specific regions of APAC this year. Here is the 2020 Monsoon forecast that you need to know.
Monsoon Forecast for India
Unlike last year, the Monsoon will not be delayed. Karnataka and the Southern parts of Maharashtra will see above-average precipitation in May, while in Kerala precipitation will be below average.
June will be drier than average across the Western coast of India, from Kerala up to Maharashtra (Nashik area). As we go inland to the sub-continent to Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh to Odisha and Jharkhand we will see below-average precipitation conditions.
The same trend will continue during July and August, with drier conditions along the West coast and wetter than average conditions inland. The North-Western state (from Maharashtra) will experience wetter than normal precipitation in July
In September wet conditions are expected in Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan and Punjab.
Business impact: If you’re located inland, prepare for potential flooding and damage to valuable business assets, like trains and other transportation infrastructure. Hydropower should see a boom with more water to power plants.
Monsoon Forecast for South-East Asia
Major parts of Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam experienced dry conditions in March and April. This dry trend is expected to continue and even increase in May.
However, Malaysia and Indonesia will see wetter than average conditions with major flooding expected in May, including the Jakarta metropolitan area.
Relatively drier than average conditions will continue in June across the Indo-China area (Myanmar to Vietnam) and change will come only in July through August with relatively wetter than average conditions, especially in Vietnam.
Malaysia and Indonesia will continue to experience a very wet season with above-normal precipitation from May to August (unlike the drought that affected this region last year). Expect major flood events this Monsoon season in this area.
Business impact: Businesses in Malaysia and Indonesia should plan for potential flooding. Agriculture should prepare for a year with less need for irrigation.
Monsoon Forecast for Japan
Most parts of Japan will see below-average precipitation in May. The change will come in June and July with wetter than normal conditions in the northern and central regions, with a high chances of intense flooding.
August is expected to be drier than normal on most parts of the island, especially the Southeast.
Temperatures are expected to be slightly higher than normal this summer, with a stronger anomaly of warmer conditions than normal in the Northeast.
Business impact: Because of higher temperatures, businesses should expect to spend more on cooling costs. And the northern regions should prepare for flood risks along with an increase in hydropower.
Monsoon Forecast for Australia
May will be drier than average across all Australia, especially in the area between Brisbane and Canberra. However, above-normal precipitation is expected in the main winter months — from June to August — across almost all parts of the country, especially Victoria and New South Wales, with neutral conditions in the Northern Territory.
A relatively warm winter is expected in North Australia with above-average temperature and the normal temperature in the Center and Southern parts of the country.
Business impact: With less rain than usual, agriculture may need to increase irrigation. Businesses should also be concerned about the potential for more damaging wildfires.
Hopefully, this will help you plan for the upcoming 2020 Monsoon Season in APAC. Want to learn more about how to access these types of weather-driven business insights? Talk to us now.